The Conspiracy Theory Market

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Happy Tuesday, Future Party. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman told Politico yesterday that “we believe that the world should accept some bad things happening for the benefits of this technology [AI] and people having the agency.” Cool. Cool cool cool. In related news, Luca Guadagnino’s OpenAI movie, Artificial, premiered last night at the New York Film Festival… and Deadline wrote that it’s an “origin story that should make you very afraid.”

The hottest new workplace trend is “loud working” — making sure your bosses are really, really aware of just how invaluable you are to the company.

The Big Pitch: Yes, “loud working” sounds a lot like just doing your job well and wanting the higher-ups to notice you (i.e., how work typically… well… works). But work culture post-COVID has gotten kinda wonky and lopsided when it comes to incentives, leading to trends like “quiet quitting” and “quiet vacationing.” After so much time being quiet, reminding managers you’re still there is becoming paramount to avoiding layoffs.

Between The Cubicles: Oh, how the pendulum swings.

Final Shout: With so many layoffs happening seemingly every single week and the job market feeling like a ghost town, Vicki Salemi, a career expert with the job site Monster, told Insider that workers are “concentrating more energy on demonstrating their value internally where they already are.”

Of course, all that peacocking could lead to some serious burnout. As one former Meta employee put it, “It felt like the Hunger Games had started. Everyone was trying to take on as much work as possible and get as much spotlight as they could.”

The Future: Expect AI agents to play a big role in this loud work era — there’s only so much bandwidth in a day to do more work than your fellow humans.

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A prediction-market startup called Verifact Markets is letting people make trades on events that have already happened.

Why It Plays: The entire premise of a prediction market is about making a best guess on what could happen, so Verifact is putting a twist on the idea — trying to reach a “consensus” on things that people can’t seem to agree happened or not. It plays right into the growing acceptance of conspiracy theories.

Between The Lines: Verifact Markets wants to crowdsource the truth, according to Wired.

Closing Thoughts: Verifact Markets was developed by Positron Capital Management, the family office of tech investor Peter Wokwicz. For now, the company isn’t licensed to operate in the US, but Wokwicz has already purchased a regulated financial exchange to eventually introduce the platform stateside.

Soon, everyone can make some money from arguing with their uncle on Facebook.

Prediction: Prepare for Verifact Markets to become a talking point in future election cycles.

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61.8% of you voted None of them in yesterday’s poll: Which company’s AI do you trust the most (Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Microsoft, xAI, Perplexity, etc.)?

“We all know corporations are not to be trusted at this point.”

“Every company’s AI seems to have a weakness or blind spot in relation to the question you ask. Some are better at medical questions, some are better at money questions, some are better at rewriting an email, and others are better at creating images. As for trust, I trust AI to get me an answer. As for the answer it gives, I always review and verify.”

“Some AI platforms work better for certain tasks, such as resume writing or creative design.”

“I use Perplexity to verify information I get from Gemini or other platforms, then I debate with OpenAI, and finally complete the job with Claude. I work with them for better output, but I don’t trust them.”

“I use Google religiously. It’s so handy to get information at the snap of a finger. You get to be a semi-expert on all subjects, lol.”

Let’s keep the conversation going. Join Poll Of The Day, so your opinions can shine. Discover how your views line up with your peers’, check out cool insights, and have some fun. It’s data with personality.

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